​Students use graphs and maps of lilac phenology data to determine the best time to host a lilac blossom festival in their area.

Learning Goals

  • Analyze data using tools and mathematical models to make claims about when lilacs will be in full bloom in their area.

  • Apply concepts of statistics and probability (including determining function fits to data, slope, intercept, and correlation coefficient for linear fits) to predict when lilacs might be in full bloom at a specific latitude.

  • Construct a written argument based on data and evidence from Budburst about whether the prediction from a mathematical model should be used to set a date for a lilac festival.

Recommended Time

1-2 hours


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